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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$2,707,306.02 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Republicans Sweep$1,410,894.95 Vol.
- Democrats Sweep$585,586.95 Vol.
- R Senate, D House$423,185.27 Vol.
- Other$187,267.60 Vol.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the…
- Republicans Sweep
- Democrats Sweep
- R Senate, D House
- Other
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
$656,737.66 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to…
- ↓ 50,000
- ↓ 70,000
- ↓ 60,000
- ↑ 90,000
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
$109,248.72 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- DeepSeek
- Anthropic
- Meta
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$764,755.10 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 21$472,059.19 Vol.
- October 31$214,011.24 Vol.
- November 15$37,868.49 Vol.
- December 31$21,386.16 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- October 21
- October 31
- November 15
- December 31
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$299,809.98 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $115
- ↑ $120
- ↑ $110
- ↑ $130
Fed Decision in October?
$2,830,367.03 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 50+ bps increase$924,105.98 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$798,775.18 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$562,898.00 Vol.
- No change$497,388.96 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 50+ bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
- 25 bps increase
- No change
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
$2,316.05 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not…
- Larry Page
- Elon Musk
- Jensen Huang
- Larry Ellison
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
$76.88 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Mathilde Panot$46.88 Vol.
- Manuel Bompard$30.00 Vol.
- Jordan Bardella$0.00 Vol.
- Sébastien Lecornu$0.00 Vol.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market…
- Mathilde Panot
- Manuel Bompard
- Jordan Bardella
- Sébastien Lecornu






























