Market overview
Settlement rules, order-book depth and execution cost for every Polymarket market we publish.
Brazil Presidential Election
$1,488,167.95 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Geraldo Alckmin$333,186.53 Vol.
- Flávio Bolsonaro$265,313.81 Vol.
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$243,512.79 Vol.
- Tarcisio de Freitas$222,995.43 Vol.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market…
- Geraldo Alckmin
- Flávio Bolsonaro
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Tarcisio de Freitas
Bitcoin above ___ on October 2?
$750,067.76 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market…
- 74,000
- 82,000
- 86,000
- 80,000
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1?
$295,847.03 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on October 1 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX)…
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1?
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
$363,468.23 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Anthropic
- OpenAI
- SpaceXAI
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
$216,956.83 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi…
- October 8
- October 12
- October 6
- October 11
Fed Decision in October?
$1,931,080.33 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$781,983.74 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$574,666.02 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$268,515.44 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$156,939.49 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 25 bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
- 50+ bps increase
How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?
$20,763.71 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 475k to 500k$7,561.99 Vol.
- 500k to 525k$6,079.45 Vol.
- 450k to 475k$4,070.70 Vol.
- 425k to 450k$3,051.57 Vol.
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market…
- 475k to 500k
- 500k to 525k
- 450k to 475k
- 425k to 450k
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
$1,063.94 Vol. · last 24 hours
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market…
- Sébastien Lecornu























