Market overview
Settlement rules, order-book depth and execution cost for every Polymarket market we publish.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$876,745 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls…
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
$408,742 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will…
- ↓ 57,500—
- ↑ 100,000—
- ↑ 87,500—
- ↑ 95,000—
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
$119,138 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but…
- Xiaomi—
- Alibaba—
- Meituan—
- Moonshot—
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$236,942 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island,…
- December 31—
- September 30—
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
$249,202 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed…
- ↑ $120—
- ↑ $105—
- ↑ $115—
- ↑ $110—
Fed Decision in October?
$693,341 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$187,795 Vol.——
- 50+ bps increase$139,529 Vol.——
- 25 bps decrease$135,858 Vol.——
- 50+ bps decrease$134,265 Vol.——
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change—
- 50+ bps increase—
- 25 bps decrease—
- 50+ bps decrease—
Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
$3,971 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Željka Cvijanović$3,971 Vol.——
- Nebojša Vukanović$0 Vol.——
- Siniša Karan$0 Vol.——
- Branko Blanuša$0 Vol.——
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika…
- Željka Cvijanović—
- Nebojša Vukanović—
- Siniša Karan—
- Branko Blanuša—
Precipitation in NYC in September?
$10,588 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this…
- 2-3"—
- 5-6"—
- >6"—
- 4-5"—




























