Market overview
Settlement rules, order-book depth and execution cost for every Polymarket market we publish.
Brazil Presidential Election
$642,711 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$166,432 Vol.——
- Renan Santos$159,330 Vol.——
- Flávio Bolsonaro$151,719 Vol.——
- Geraldo Alckmin$60,027 Vol.——
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market…
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva—
- Renan Santos—
- Flávio Bolsonaro—
- Geraldo Alckmin—
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
$885,645 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market…
- ↑ 87,500—
- ↑ 90,000—
- ↓ 70,000—
- ↓ 75,000—
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
$143,070 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $100—
- ↑ $105—
- ↓ $75—
- ↑ $130—
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
$55,970 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Meta—
- Anthropic—
- OpenAI—
- Google—
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$173,781 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- September 30—
- October 31—
- December 31—
- November 30—
Fed Decision in October?
$1,582,885 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 50+ bps decrease$472,484 Vol.——
- 25 bps increase$471,573 Vol.——
- No change$325,102 Vol.——
- 50+ bps increase$262,724 Vol.——
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 50+ bps decrease—
- 25 bps increase—
- No change—
- 50+ bps increase—
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
$212 Vol. · last 24 hours
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market…
- Sébastien Lecornu—
- Mathilde Panot—
- Jordan Bardella—
- Manuel Bompard—
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$40,425 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.…
- ↑5k—
