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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
$29,530,247.59 Vol. · last 24 hours
- None$2,462,900.56 Vol.
- AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,387,739.36 Vol.
- IA$1,018,606.52 Vol.
- AK, KS, MI, TX$540,907.32 Vol.
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed…
- None
- AK, IA, KS, MI, TX
- IA
- AK, KS, MI, TX
What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
$282,885.18 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will…
- ↓ 75,000
- ↑ 80,000
- ↑ 90,000
- ↓ 60,000
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
$237,228.73 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $150
- ↑ $160
- ↑ $130
- ↓ $95
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$782,220.38 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 4$102,651.13 Vol.
- November 7$101,705.87 Vol.
- November 3$93,412.05 Vol.
- November 2$88,583.56 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- November 4
- November 7
- November 3
- November 2
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
$39,237.67 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the…
- Meta
- Anthropic
- OpenAI
Fed Decision in December?
$716,377.17 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 50+ bps increase$240,006.16 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$195,923.99 Vol.
- No change$124,233.78 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$78,541.65 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 50+ bps increase
- 25 bps increase
- No change
- 25 bps decrease
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
$3,272.20 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market…
- 525k to 550k
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
$5,932.84 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a human case of pneumonic plague outside the Russian Federation is confirmed and established as epidemiologically linked to the outbreak associated with the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will…
- Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
