See what smart money is doing on Polymarket.
550,000+ traders tracked. Live large trades. Free to explore.
Find traders worth watching. See who’s buying and selling, and explore their positions and performance.
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
$10,648,254.54 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed…
- IA, KS
- IA
- None
- All 7
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$799,952.78 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will…
- ↓ 75,000
- ↓ 72,500
- ↓ 70,000
- ↑ 82,500
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$314,351.57 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 31$81,670.36 Vol.
- December 31$43,229.20 Vol.
- November 1$36,738.65 Vol.
- November 2$28,533.72 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- October 31
- December 31
- November 1
- November 2
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
$150,219.31 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the…
- Mistral
- ByteDance
- Microsoft
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$135,629.90 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM…
- ↑$3.0T
- ↑$2.0T
- ↑$1.75T
- ↑$1.5T
Fed Decision in December?
$857,611.32 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$286,042.07 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$253,984.75 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$115,700.31 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$101,276.85 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 25 bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
- 50+ bps increase
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
$3,844.92 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".…
- 75%
- 85%
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
$7,765.09 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the…
- December 31, 2026
- December 31, 2027
