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Which party will win the House in 2026?
$2,157,929.32 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a…
- Republican Party
- Democratic Party
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$432,443.13 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market…
- ↑ 100,000
- ↓ 77,500
- ↑ 90,000
- ↑ 85,000
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
$152,649.19 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Anthropic
- OpenAI
- Meta
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$311,639.95 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 31$130,000.97 Vol.
- October 27$111,652.83 Vol.
- October 24$30,582.24 Vol.
- November 15$14,552.73 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- October 31
- October 27
- October 24
- November 15
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$198,581.94 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $115
- ↑ $120
- ↑ $110
- ↑ $105
Fed Decision in October?
$4,083,559.30 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$1,768,100.06 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$1,034,166.53 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$560,407.00 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$503,629.01 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 25 bps increase
- 50+ bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
$1,088.17 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”…
- Deutsche Bank
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
$4,692.71 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the lowest gage height (river level), in feet, recorded at the Mississippi River at St. Louis, MO streamgage (USGS site 07010000) between market creation and November 30, 2026, as published by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) for parameter code 00065…
- -1.00 to 0.99 ft
- -3.00 to -1.01 ft
