Market overview
Settlement rules, order-book depth and execution cost for every Polymarket market we publish.
Brazil Presidential Election
$5,082,794.24 Vol. · last 24 hours
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market…
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Flávio Bolsonaro
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
$1,069,750.68 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 '26 is lower than the final "Close" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 '26. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price…
- Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$193,289.44 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↓ $60
- ↓ $85
- ↑ $100
- ↓ $80
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
$104,138.19 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the…
- Anthropic
- Meta
- Z.ai
Will Iran target Iraq by...?
$183,108.88 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile…
- September 30
Fed Decision in October?
$1,328,206.88 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$339,829.75 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$317,646.97 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$281,265.53 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$250,743.52 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 50+ bps decrease
- 25 bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
$2,093.47 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Željka Cvijanović$637.38 Vol.
- Branko Blanuša$378.65 Vol.
- Nebojša Vukanović$345.04 Vol.
- Siniša Karan$336.70 Vol.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika…
- Željka Cvijanović
- Branko Blanuša
- Nebojša Vukanović
- Siniša Karan
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$4,443.82 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of…
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?




























