Market overview
Settlement rules, order-book depth and execution cost for every Polymarket market we publish.
Brazil Presidential Election
$2,925,620.26 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Renan Santos$893,345.22 Vol.
- Flávio Bolsonaro$762,203.86 Vol.
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$743,607.49 Vol.
- Tarcisio de Freitas$231,790.00 Vol.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market…
- Renan Santos
- Flávio Bolsonaro
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Tarcisio de Freitas
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$305,942.18 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market…
- ↑ 150,000
- ↑ 105,000
- ↑ 92,500
- ↓ 60,000
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
$100,214.21 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- OpenAI
- Meta
- Anthropic
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$34,118.99 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- October 31
- December 31
- November 30
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
$240,397.45 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made…
- December 31, 2027
- December 31, 2028
- December 31, 2029
Fed Decision in October?
$813,566.85 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 25 bps decrease$443,562.77 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$297,300.18 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$35,978.08 Vol.
- No change$22,468.95 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 25 bps decrease
- 50+ bps decrease
- 50+ bps increase
- No change
Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
$7,598.15 Vol. · last 24 hours
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika…
- Zdenko Lučić
- Slaven Kovačević
- Darijana Filipović
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
$1,709.18 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Meta
- Moonshot
- Microsoft
- Baidu


























