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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1,236,454.37 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Shawn Fain$751,944.07 Vol.
- MrBeast$102,026.98 Vol.
- Jon Ossoff$66,600.64 Vol.
- J.B. Pritzker$46,103.95 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of…
- Shawn Fain
- MrBeast
- Jon Ossoff
- J.B. Pritzker
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
$504,114.21 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the…
- ↓ 65,000
- ↓ 55,000
- ↓ 50,000
- ↑ 1,000,000
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
$153,963.68 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Anthropic
- Meta
- OpenAI
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$873,469.26 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 15$240,171.65 Vol.
- November 7$172,193.95 Vol.
- November 30$119,619.03 Vol.
- December 31$111,445.13 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- November 15
- November 7
- November 30
- December 31
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$498,044.11 Vol. · last 24 hours
- <$1.25T$106,910.65 Vol.
- $1.5–$1.75T$90,457.05 Vol.
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$89,547.79 Vol.
- $1.75–$2.0T$55,847.71 Vol.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s…
- <$1.25T
- $1.5–$1.75T
- No IPO by December 31, 2027
- $1.75–$2.0T
Fed Decision in December?
$7,221,144.22 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$2,296,538.08 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$1,902,013.48 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$1,610,674.52 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$836,958.78 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 50+ bps increase
- 25 bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
Plague pandemic in 2026?
$13,339.19 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will…
- Plague pandemic in 2026?
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
$1,597.30 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market…
- 475k to 500k




































