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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$938,003.32 Vol. · last 24 hours
- D Senate, R House$576,821.12 Vol.
- Other$174,569.47 Vol.
- Republicans Sweep$155,358.87 Vol.
- Democrats Sweep$17,880.79 Vol.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the…
- D Senate, R House
- Other
- Republicans Sweep
- Democrats Sweep
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$337,856.77 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market…
- ↑ 150,000
- ↑ 105,000
- ↓ 60,000
- ↑ 90,000
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$277,286.57 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $100
- ↑ $95
- ↓ $80
- ↓ $85
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
$90,469.96 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 14$19,701.73 Vol.
- October 15$19,603.58 Vol.
- October 13$16,900.97 Vol.
- October 23$10,850.02 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist…
- October 14
- October 15
- October 13
- October 23
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$142,125.47 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between January 2, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force…
- December 31
- October 31
Fed Decision in October?
$1,122,887.98 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 25 bps decrease$492,630.19 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$338,561.36 Vol.
- No change$246,925.28 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$36,121.03 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 25 bps decrease
- 25 bps increase
- No change
- 50+ bps decrease
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$4,143.89 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of…
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
How strong will Isaias be?
$5,617.01 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Category 3$4,398.37 Vol.
- Category 4$428.02 Vol.
- Category 1 or weaker$420.80 Vol.
- Category 2$351.94 Vol.
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Isaias (NHC designation AL092026). Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Isaias in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm. The category is stated in the advisory and is…
- Category 3
- Category 4
- Category 1 or weaker
- Category 2
