See what smart money is doing on Polymarket.
550,000+ traders tracked. Live large trades. Free to explore.
Find traders worth watching. See who’s buying and selling, and explore their positions and performance.
Brazil Presidential Election
$1,003,409.06 Vol. · last 24 hours
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market…
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Flávio Bolsonaro
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$285,967.34 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will…
- ↓ 65,000
- ↓ 62,500
- ↑ 105,000
- ↓ 60,000
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$157,408.09 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $150
- ↑ $130
- ↑ $100
- ↓ $80
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$198,690.78 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 31$79,156.41 Vol.
- October 15$40,014.80 Vol.
- November 15$40,012.17 Vol.
- December 31$34,547.24 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- October 31
- October 15
- November 15
- December 31
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
$50,125.51 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist…
- October 15
- October 31
- October 16
- October 13
Fed Decision in October?
$185,841.54 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$97,824.43 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$55,159.25 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$14,373.38 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$12,208.13 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 25 bps decrease
- 50+ bps decrease
- 50+ bps increase
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
$17,685.10 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake…
- 1
- 2
- 0
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
$20,753.52 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a human case of pneumonic plague outside the Russian Federation is confirmed and established as epidemiologically linked to the outbreak associated with the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will…
- Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
