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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
$18,897,235.95 Vol. · last 24 hours
- None$3,045,277.59 Vol.
- IA$1,515,961.53 Vol.
- AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,206,015.89 Vol.
- IA, KS$840,476.66 Vol.
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed…
- None
- IA
- AK, IA, KS, MI, TX
- IA, KS
Bitcoin above ___ on November 4?
$494,060.68 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for…
- 88,000
- 78,000
- 86,000
- 72,000
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
$231,189.84 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $140
- ↑ $160
- ↑ $150
- ↑ $130
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$833,355.91 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 7$132,669.94 Vol.
- November 3$112,811.11 Vol.
- November 5$109,241.97 Vol.
- November 15$94,924.02 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- November 7
- November 3
- November 5
- November 15
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
$57,482.10 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the…
- Meta
- Anthropic
- OpenAI
Fed Decision in December?
$649,520.64 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$225,399.05 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$140,527.60 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$129,408.91 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$99,847.15 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 25 bps decrease
- 50+ bps increase
- 50+ bps decrease
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
$8,146.17 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the…
- December 31, 2026
- December 31, 2027
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
$3,426.61 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market…
- 525k to 550k






























