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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1,275,468.09 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Abdul El-Sayed$384,846.08 Vol.
- Gavin Newsom$247,375.83 Vol.
- Ro Khanna$164,713.80 Vol.
- Adam Hamilton$84,328.04 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of…
- Abdul El-Sayed
- Gavin Newsom
- Ro Khanna
- Adam Hamilton
Bitcoin above ___ on November 9?
$854,424.06 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for…
- 68,000
- 70,000
- 78,000
- 80,000
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
$52,544.25 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Anthropic
- DeepSeek
- Z.ai
- SpaceXAI
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?
$250,217.31 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang’s departure through resignation or removal as CEO of NVIDIA is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Jensen Huang, NVIDIA, or their…
- Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$969,039.06 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 15$410,146.78 Vol.
- November 6$179,671.74 Vol.
- December 31$120,906.69 Vol.
- November 22$70,625.05 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- November 15
- November 6
- December 31
- November 22
Fed Decision in December?
$302,471.81 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$173,747.71 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$47,778.19 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$39,491.94 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$30,959.57 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 25 bps increase
- 50+ bps increase
- 50+ bps decrease
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
$11,949.03 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market resolves based on the total number of West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases (encephalitis, meningitis, and acute flaccid paralysis) reported among New York City residents in 2026, as published by the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene on its West Nile Virus Reports…
- 20 to 34
- 35 to 49
- 50 or more
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$309.82 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will…
- Necklace
- Ring
- Tablet
- Glasses
