Market overview
Settlement rules, order-book depth and execution cost for every Polymarket market we publish.
Brazil Presidential Election
$2,585,345.14 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$941,534.15 Vol.
- Flávio Bolsonaro$766,923.08 Vol.
- Renan Santos$329,579.70 Vol.
- Tarcisio de Freitas$242,000.00 Vol.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market…
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Flávio Bolsonaro
- Renan Santos
- Tarcisio de Freitas
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$935,721.69 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market…
- ↑ 87,500
- ↑ 97,500
- ↑ 100,000
- ↑ 92,500
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
$226,562.55 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Anthropic
- SpaceXAI
- OpenAI
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$119,160.16 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island,…
- October 31
- December 31
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$209,633.91 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↓ $80
- ↓ $65
- ↑ $130
- ↑ $120
Fed Decision in October?
$2,116,118.97 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$965,499.23 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$490,345.08 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$334,891.31 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$166,156.92 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 25 bps increase
- 50+ bps decrease
- 25 bps decrease
Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
$11,382.18 Vol. · last 24 hours
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika…
- Zdenko Lučić
- Slaven Kovačević
- Darijana Filipović
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$4,331.32 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of…
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

































