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Brazil Presidential Election
$2,744,584.31 Vol. · last 24 hours
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market…
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Flávio Bolsonaro
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$969,730.82 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will…
- ↓ 65,000
- ↓ 62,500
- ↓ 60,000
- ↓ 80,000
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$222,513.97 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $100
- ↑ $95
- ↓ $65
- ↓ $60
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
$109,021.82 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 31$41,426.41 Vol.
- October 15$29,655.81 Vol.
- October 10$15,019.73 Vol.
- November 30$8,337.05 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist…
- October 31
- October 15
- October 10
- November 30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$245,996.42 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 31$124,177.69 Vol.
- December 31$48,346.64 Vol.
- October 15$27,881.22 Vol.
- November 15$22,796.53 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- October 31
- December 31
- October 15
- November 15
Fed Decision in October?
$2,195,218.13 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 50+ bps decrease$797,355.63 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$458,595.47 Vol.
- No change$457,173.06 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$245,910.69 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 50+ bps decrease
- 25 bps increase
- No change
- 25 bps decrease
Where will Isaias make landfall as a hurricane?
$8,876.42 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Hurricane Center (NHC) reports that Isaias (NHC designation AL092026) made landfall in the listed state as a hurricane, by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The landfall must occur by that deadline;…
- Mississippi
- Louisiana
- Alabama
- Florida
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$1,836.12 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of…
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
