See what smart money is doing on Polymarket.
550,000+ traders tracked. Live large trades. Free to explore.
Find traders worth watching. See who’s buying and selling, and explore their positions and performance.
Next French Presidential Election
$928,503.46 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Teddy Riner$201,706.65 Vol.
- David Lisnard$188,553.39 Vol.
- Sarah Knafo$137,688.57 Vol.
- Éric Zemmour$56,963.53 Vol.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a…
- Teddy Riner
- David Lisnard
- Sarah Knafo
- Éric Zemmour
Bitcoin above ___ on November 11?
$518,324.66 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for…
- 76,000
- 78,000
- 70,000
- 80,000
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
$139,966.03 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Anthropic
- OpenAI
- Meta
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$647,217.43 Vol. · last 24 hours
- <$1.25T$106,069.69 Vol.
- $2.0–$2.25T$104,467.18 Vol.
- $1.75–$2.0T$96,623.36 Vol.
- No IPO by December 31, 2027$79,738.29 Vol.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s…
- <$1.25T
- $2.0–$2.25T
- $1.75–$2.0T
- No IPO by December 31, 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$562,051.15 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 15$214,100.77 Vol.
- December 31$98,178.93 Vol.
- December 15$64,635.95 Vol.
- November 30$51,502.02 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- November 15
- December 31
- December 15
- November 30
Fed Decision in December?
$4,620,170.09 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$1,601,542.81 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$1,349,184.17 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$848,202.00 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$416,669.85 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 50+ bps increase
- 25 bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
Next CEO of NVIDIA?
$2,528.29 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced…
- Jay Puri
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$46,982.62 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.…
- ↑7.5k































