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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$2,379,896.06 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Mike Pence$566,255.08 Vol.
- Mike Johnson$400,000.00 Vol.
- Doug Burgum$263,871.87 Vol.
- Greg Abbott$207,500.00 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of…
- Mike Pence
- Mike Johnson
- Doug Burgum
- Greg Abbott
What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
$544,242.62 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will…
- ↓ 70,000
- ↓ 60,000
- ↑ 82,500
- ↓ 55,000
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
$61,205.70 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 12$25,871.26 Vol.
- November 30$14,308.09 Vol.
- November 15$11,405.69 Vol.
- November 13$8,541.54 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or…
- November 12
- November 30
- November 15
- November 13
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$363,791.80 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s…
- <$1.25T
- $1.75–$2.0T
- $2.0–$2.25T
- $3.0T+
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$927,989.70 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 15$351,801.13 Vol.
- November 22$152,457.25 Vol.
- November 13$98,133.46 Vol.
- December 31$87,781.47 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- November 15
- November 22
- November 13
- December 31
Fed Decision in December?
$3,156,689.91 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 25 bps increase$990,889.91 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$686,275.60 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$633,048.15 Vol.
- No change$575,332.55 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 25 bps increase
- 50+ bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
- No change
Next CEO of NVIDIA?
$856,391.74 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Jensen Huang (No Change)$239,715.43 Vol.
- Tim Cook$210,219.18 Vol.
- Colette Kress$172,692.29 Vol.
- Ian Buck$117,286.28 Vol.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced…
- Jensen Huang (No Change)
- Tim Cook
- Colette Kress
- Ian Buck
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$50,912.37 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.…
- ↑7.5k





























