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Brazil Presidential Election
$781,749.36 Vol. · last 24 hours
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market…
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Flávio Bolsonaro
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 14?
$364,705.95 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."…
- ↓ 80,000
- ↓ 79,000
- ↓ 81,000
- ↓ 78,000
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$101,533.48 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $115
- ↑ $100
- ↑ $110
- ↑ $105
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
$91,657.26 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- OpenAI
- Meta
- Anthropic
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$452,122.69 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 31$261,063.47 Vol.
- October 15$146,318.01 Vol.
- November 15$30,216.90 Vol.
- December 31$8,816.37 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- October 31
- October 15
- November 15
- December 31
Fed Decision in October?
$4,572,113.70 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$2,340,146.46 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$1,338,029.64 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$614,010.92 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$167,820.27 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 25 bps increase
- 50+ bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$3,971.36 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of…
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
$437.88 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Carole Delga$289.58 Vol.
- Mathilde Panot$123.42 Vol.
- François Hollande$24.88 Vol.
- Jordan Bardella$0.00 Vol.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market…
- Carole Delga
- Mathilde Panot
- François Hollande
- Jordan Bardella























