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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$2,125,321.74 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Rick Scott$771,625.95 Vol.
- Tulsi Gabbard$504,083.02 Vol.
- Ron DeSantis$157,683.55 Vol.
- John McEntee$116,192.22 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of…
- Rick Scott
- Tulsi Gabbard
- Ron DeSantis
- John McEntee
Bitcoin above ___ on November 7?
$364,371.82 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for…
- 76,000
- 80,000
- 78,000
- 74,000
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
$49,063.68 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- OpenAI
- Alibaba
- Anthropic
Anthropic IPO by __?
$209,628.45 Vol. · last 24 hours
- December 31, 2026$75,768.98 Vol.
- November 30, 2026$50,880.25 Vol.
- November 15, 2026$26,655.65 Vol.
- December 15, 2026$23,628.88 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately…
- December 31, 2026
- November 30, 2026
- November 15, 2026
- December 15, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$1,654,685.12 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 7$676,074.48 Vol.
- December 31$267,207.84 Vol.
- November 15$181,618.20 Vol.
- November 6$139,220.85 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- November 7
- December 31
- November 15
- November 6
Fed Decision in December?
$275,852.28 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 25 bps increase$90,203.52 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$54,994.64 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$49,760.17 Vol.
- No change$47,753.14 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 25 bps increase
- 50+ bps increase
- 50+ bps decrease
- No change
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
$13,286.95 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the…
- December 31, 2027
- December 31, 2026
- December 31, 2028
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
$2,200.10 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not…
- Sergey Brin
- Larry Ellison
- Mark Zuckerberg
- Jensen Huang








































