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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$3,233,548.77 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Joe Kent$627,603.86 Vol.
- Candace Owens$520,641.10 Vol.
- Rick Scott$355,635.04 Vol.
- Ron DeSantis$198,200.90 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of…
- Joe Kent
- Candace Owens
- Rick Scott
- Ron DeSantis
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
$652,514.20 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to…
- ↓ 55,000
- ↓ 45,000
- ↓ 50,000
- ↑ 130,000
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
$291,149.87 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $150
- ↑ $160
- ↓ $85
- ↑ $130
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$994,500.44 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 7$192,955.69 Vol.
- November 5$123,107.37 Vol.
- December 15$116,589.24 Vol.
- December 31$108,411.40 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- November 7
- November 5
- December 15
- December 31
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
$77,996.40 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the…
- Alibaba
- Microsoft
- Mistral
Fed Decision in December?
$670,073.98 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 25 bps increase$209,257.50 Vol.
- No change$158,960.63 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$127,160.74 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$94,828.76 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 25 bps increase
- No change
- 50+ bps increase
- 50+ bps decrease
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
$3,413.87 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the…
- December 31, 2026
- December 31, 2028
- December 31, 2027
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$791.32 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will…
- Computer (Laptop/Desktop)
- Ring
- Tablet
- Necklace








































