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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$2,146,382.93 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Raphael Warnock$886,603.71 Vol.
- Chris Van Hollen$691,315.22 Vol.
- Tim Walz$127,052.35 Vol.
- Alex Padilla$106,000.00 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of…
- Raphael Warnock
- Chris Van Hollen
- Tim Walz
- Alex Padilla
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$622,994.40 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will…
- ↓ 82,500
- ↓ 62,500
- ↑ 90,000
- ↑ 150,000
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$122,725.27 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↓ $65
- ↑ $95
- ↓ $60
- ↑ $100
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
$91,942.29 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Alibaba
- Xiaomi
- Meta
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
$141,585.91 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi…
- October 1
- October 4
Fed Decision in October?
$1,148,350.66 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 50+ bps decrease$384,269.82 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$377,421.07 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$143,574.02 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$142,940.08 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 50+ bps decrease
- 25 bps decrease
- 25 bps increase
- 50+ bps increase
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
$99.67 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- xAI
- Z.ai
- DeepSeek
- Microsoft
Plague pandemic in 2026?
$236,914.45 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will…
- Plague pandemic in 2026?
