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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$5,125,593.96 Vol. · last 24 hours
- D Senate, R House$2,992,997.23 Vol.
- Republicans Sweep$1,212,275.58 Vol.
- Democrats Sweep$642,667.56 Vol.
- R Senate, D House$174,604.80 Vol.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the…
- D Senate, R House
- Republicans Sweep
- Democrats Sweep
- R Senate, D House
Bitcoin above ___ on October 24?
$387,696.88 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for…
- 80,000
- 76,000
- 74,000
- 78,000
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
$55,640.45 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Moonshot
- Anthropic
- OpenAI
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$2,039,697.67 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 31$1,352,434.87 Vol.
- November 15$316,429.00 Vol.
- December 31$263,731.33 Vol.
- November 30$107,102.48 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of…
- October 31
- November 15
- December 31
- November 30
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$204,917.11 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $120
- ↑ $115
- ↑ $130
- ↑ $110
Fed Decision in October?
$3,737,075.01 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$1,355,439.12 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$1,112,168.97 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$542,831.64 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$536,185.52 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 25 bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
- 50+ bps increase
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
$19,738.30 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake…
- 3
- 2
- 1
- 4
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
$3,724.04 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not…
- Elon Musk
- Steve Ballmer
- Bernard Arnault
- Sergey Brin
