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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
$29,846,002.94 Vol. · last 24 hours
- None$2,481,242.08 Vol.
- AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1,383,440.98 Vol.
- IA$881,121.87 Vol.
- AK, KS, MI, TX$553,258.91 Vol.
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed…
- None
- AK, IA, KS, MI, TX
- IA
- AK, KS, MI, TX
Bitcoin above ___ on November 3?
$863,753.26 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for…
- 80,000
- 88,000
- 74,000
- 76,000
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
$275,691.16 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $150
- ↑ $160
- ↑ $130
- ↓ $95
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$774,798.54 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 7$101,317.17 Vol.
- November 4$97,913.24 Vol.
- November 2$92,760.85 Vol.
- November 15$83,022.34 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- November 7
- November 4
- November 2
- November 15
When will Gemini Carbon be released?
$34,321.17 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 9–November 15$21,386.37 Vol.
- November 2–November 8$5,663.37 Vol.
- December 14–December 20$1,762.42 Vol.
- November 23–November 29$1,586.12 Vol.
On October 9, 2026, Business Insider reported that Google employees were internally testing a Gemini 4 model codenamed "Carbon," separate from the checkpoint later released as Gemini 4 Argon (https://www.businessinsider.com/google-employees-test-new-gemini-4-model-argon-barium-carbon-2026-10). This…
- November 9–November 15
- November 2–November 8
- December 14–December 20
- November 23–November 29
Fed Decision in December?
$776,154.84 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 25 bps increase$228,977.97 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$179,765.86 Vol.
- No change$146,465.59 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$121,119.42 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 25 bps increase
- 50+ bps increase
- No change
- 25 bps decrease
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
$3,267.20 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market…
- 525k to 550k
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
$5,932.84 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a human case of pneumonic plague outside the Russian Federation is confirmed and established as epidemiologically linked to the outbreak associated with the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will…
- Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?


























