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Brazil Presidential Election
$1,008,742.23 Vol. · last 24 hours
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market…
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
- Flávio Bolsonaro
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 20?
$434,714.53 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."…
- ↓ 81,000
- ↑ 85,000
- ↑ 84,000
- ↑ 86,000
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$241,984.14 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $105
- ↑ $115
- ↓ $95
- ↑ $120
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$247,136.77 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 21$125,724.39 Vol.
- October 31$70,562.04 Vol.
- December 31$22,367.77 Vol.
- November 15$17,015.23 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- October 21
- October 31
- December 31
- November 15
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
$61,336.33 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be…
- October 31
- October 24
- October 22
- October 21
Fed Decision in October?
$1,523,822.41 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$618,888.91 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$353,324.66 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$240,865.99 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$172,312.64 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 25 bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
- 50+ bps decrease
How strong will Trudy be?
$5,390.03 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Trudy (NHC designation EP212026). Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Trudy in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm. The category is stated in the advisory and is…
- Category 3
Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?
$1,960.84 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic officially announces a commitment to contribute shares of Anthropic to Trump Accounts by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trump Accounts refers to the federal tax-advantaged investment accounts for American…
- Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?
