Market overview
Settlement rules, order-book depth and execution cost for every Polymarket market we publish.
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$6,310,691 Vol. · last 24 hours
- United Russia (ER)$3,564,215 Vol.——
- New People (NL)$911,792 Vol.——
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)$641,344 Vol.——
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)$477,424 Vol.——
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by…
- United Russia (ER)—
- New People (NL)—
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)—
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)—
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
$506,599 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market…
- ↑ 100,000—
- ↓ 65,000—
- ↓ 70,000—
- ↑ 82,500—
Next Claude Opus released by...?
$53,763 Vol. · last 24 hours
- September 30$22,373 Vol.——
- September 27$18,144 Vol.——
- September 24$12,040 Vol.——
- October 31$1,207 Vol.——
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude…
- September 30—
- September 27—
- September 24—
- October 31—
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
$165,495 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed…
- ↑ $105—
- ↑ $130—
- ↑ $115—
- ↑ $150—
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$394,347 Vol. · last 24 hours
- September 30$173,932 Vol.——
- November 30$117,726 Vol.——
- October 31$65,617 Vol.——
- December 31$37,073 Vol.——
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- September 30—
- November 30—
- October 31—
- December 31—
Fed Decision in October?
$325,901 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 50+ bps decrease$123,240 Vol.——
- 25 bps decrease$70,443 Vol.——
- 25 bps increase$69,273 Vol.——
- No change$46,150 Vol.——
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 50+ bps decrease—
- 25 bps decrease—
- 25 bps increase—
- No change—
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
$1,610 Vol. · last 24 hours
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market…
- Élisabeth Borne—
- Mathilde Panot—
- Michel Barnier—
- Jordan Bardella—
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$10,281 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026…
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- 2—
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