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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
$9,431,835.69 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed…
- None
- AK, IA, KS, MI, TX
- IA, KS
- IA
Will 1win launch a token by ___?
$1,726,175.30 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 1win officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by 1win after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic…
- October 31, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$581,786.50 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 31$148,696.73 Vol.
- November 2$90,512.34 Vol.
- November 4$67,735.87 Vol.
- November 3$64,899.04 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- October 31
- November 2
- November 4
- November 3
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
$96,543.45 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the…
- Z.ai
- Moonshot
- Mistral
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$233,030.74 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026,…
- Perplexity AI
- Revolut
- Waymo
- Databricks
Fed Decision in December?
$177,489.48 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 50+ bps increase$78,059.81 Vol.
- No change$39,698.38 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$31,998.54 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$18,095.92 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 50+ bps increase
- No change
- 25 bps decrease
- 25 bps increase
First snow of the 2026 season
$7,613.34 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Minneapolis, MN records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Snowfall for Minneapolis, MN is measured only at station KMSP, which the National Weather Service…
- Minneapolis, MN by October 31
- Buffalo, NY by October 31
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$1,557.47 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of…
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
