Market overview
Settlement rules, order-book depth and execution cost for every Polymarket market we publish.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$459,367 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise,…
- December 31—
- September 30—
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
$816,728 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market…
- ↑ 87,500—
- ↑ 90,000—
- ↓ 80,000—
- ↑ 92,500—
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
$204,840 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed…
- ↑ $150—
- ↑ $140—
- ↓ $75—
- ↑ $95—
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
$82,137 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Anthropic—
- Meta—
- Google—
- OpenAI—
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$434,584 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island,…
- September 30—
- December 31—
Fed Decision in October?
$1,188,530 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$415,428 Vol.——
- 25 bps increase$358,974 Vol.——
- 50+ bps increase$199,715 Vol.——
- 25 bps decrease$182,134 Vol.——
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change—
- 25 bps increase—
- 50+ bps increase—
- 25 bps decrease—
Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
$164 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Željka Cvijanović$164 Vol.——
- Siniša Karan$0 Vol.——
- Branko Blanuša$0 Vol.——
- Draško Stanivuković$0 Vol.——
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika…
- Željka Cvijanović—
- Siniša Karan—
- Branko Blanuša—
- Draško Stanivuković—
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$6,189 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026…
- 5—
- 4—
- 6 or lower—
- 1—





























