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Next French Presidential Election
$2,095,070.56 Vol. · last 24 hours
- David Lisnard$445,153.14 Vol.
- Teddy Riner$382,468.86 Vol.
- Sarah Knafo$131,118.14 Vol.
- Bruno Retailleau$129,931.53 Vol.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a…
- David Lisnard
- Teddy Riner
- Sarah Knafo
- Bruno Retailleau
Bitcoin above ___ on November 10?
$581,321.76 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for…
- 78,000
- 76,000
- 74,000
- 72,000
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
$194,809.93 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Anthropic
- Meta
- OpenAI
Anthropic IPO by __?
$603,896.75 Vol. · last 24 hours
- December 31, 2026$174,922.82 Vol.
- December 15, 2026$79,868.69 Vol.
- November 15, 2026$69,443.84 Vol.
- November 30, 2026$62,289.75 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately…
- December 31, 2026
- December 15, 2026
- November 15, 2026
- November 30, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$886,026.60 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 15$256,509.43 Vol.
- November 7$144,545.94 Vol.
- November 30$130,314.38 Vol.
- December 31$114,480.39 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- November 15
- November 7
- November 30
- December 31
Fed Decision in December?
$5,467,416.46 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$2,077,813.73 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$1,445,270.27 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$1,181,786.05 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$540,271.79 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 25 bps increase
- 50+ bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
$1,688.72 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market…
- 475k to 500k
Plague pandemic in 2026?
$13,339.19 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will…
- Plague pandemic in 2026?
































