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Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4,867,592.75 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a…
- Republican Party
- Democratic Party
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$1,627,988.46 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will…
- ↓ 75,000
- ↑ 82,500
- ↑ 85,000
- ↓ 72,500
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$555,898.56 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 31$182,306.60 Vol.
- November 15$69,182.14 Vol.
- November 3$52,863.26 Vol.
- December 31$50,874.73 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- October 31
- November 15
- November 3
- December 31
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
$107,742.51 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Anthropic
- OpenAI
- Meta
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$220,830.41 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $105
- ↑ $120
- ↑ $115
- ↑ $140
Fed Decision in December?
$1,477,952.74 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 25 bps decrease$409,360.56 Vol.
- No change$335,580.82 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$317,186.05 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$284,546.69 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 25 bps decrease
- No change
- 50+ bps decrease
- 25 bps increase
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
$2,508.42 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- OpenAI
- Alibaba
- DeepSeek
- Amazon
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
$10,257.78 Vol. · last 24 hours
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX…
- December 31, 2026































