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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$717,220.05 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 12$283,075.17 Vol.
- October 31$240,062.91 Vol.
- October 15$141,181.64 Vol.
- November 15$35,296.57 Vol.
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike,…
- October 12
- October 31
- October 15
- November 15
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?
$234,181.00 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this…
- ↑ 90,000
- ↑ 86,000
- ↓ 80,000
- ↑ 88,000
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$111,379.82 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $100
- ↓ $80
- ↓ $85
- ↑ $130
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$295,369.34 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 15$112,099.60 Vol.
- October 31$100,614.46 Vol.
- November 15$42,108.79 Vol.
- December 31$35,163.09 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- October 15
- October 31
- November 15
- December 31
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
$51,381.26 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist…
- October 15
- October 13
- October 31
- October 16
Fed Decision in October?
$243,287.94 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$98,874.89 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$98,626.15 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$22,571.66 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$16,868.34 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 25 bps decrease
- 50+ bps increase
- 50+ bps decrease
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?
$11,463.46 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake…
- more than 13
- 12
- 10
- 9
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
$552.07 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Bernard Arnault$333.33 Vol.
- Jeff Bezos$146.00 Vol.
- Warren Buffett$39.74 Vol.
- Mark Zuckerberg$33.00 Vol.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not…
- Bernard Arnault
- Jeff Bezos
- Warren Buffett
- Mark Zuckerberg
