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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$2,516,995.42 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Abdul El-Sayed$1,227,947.55 Vol.
- Scott Colom$457,277.09 Vol.
- Kamala Harris$224,552.92 Vol.
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$110,956.98 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of…
- Abdul El-Sayed
- Scott Colom
- Kamala Harris
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?
$1,165,969.44 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for…
- 80,000
- 72,000
- 82,000
- 78,000
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
$74,049.15 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 6$19,450.87 Vol.
- November 30$11,848.18 Vol.
- December 31$11,638.40 Vol.
- November 15$9,391.51 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or…
- November 6
- November 30
- December 31
- November 15
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$221,291.13 Vol. · last 24 hours
- <$1.25T$40,369.19 Vol.
- $1.75–$2.0T$36,871.97 Vol.
- $1.5–$1.75T$26,039.96 Vol.
- $2.0–$2.25T$25,971.13 Vol.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s…
- <$1.25T
- $1.75–$2.0T
- $1.5–$1.75T
- $2.0–$2.25T
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$1,181,466.13 Vol. · last 24 hours
- November 7$317,571.70 Vol.
- November 15$262,837.94 Vol.
- December 31$109,542.80 Vol.
- November 6$108,882.56 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- November 7
- November 15
- December 31
- November 6
Fed Decision in December?
$2,108,016.61 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 25 bps increase$1,275,800.22 Vol.
- No change$429,566.69 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$170,763.11 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$123,058.63 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 25 bps increase
- No change
- 50+ bps decrease
- 25 bps decrease
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$3,721.97 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.…
- ↑5k
- ↑7.5k
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$1,311.18 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of…
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?































