See what smart money is doing on Polymarket.
550,000+ traders tracked. Live large trades. Free to explore.
Find traders worth watching. See who’s buying and selling, and explore their positions and performance.
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$791,958.64 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 15$383,923.67 Vol.
- October 31$323,159.05 Vol.
- November 15$49,225.71 Vol.
- November 30$28,209.06 Vol.
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike,…
- October 15
- October 31
- November 15
- November 30
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$483,619.54 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market…
- ↑ 150,000
- ↓ 80,000
- ↓ 65,000
- ↑ 90,000
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$128,850.25 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $95
- ↑ $100
- ↑ $105
- ↓ $85
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
$92,356.15 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Meta
- Anthropic
- SpaceXAI
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
$194,059.75 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 16$54,608.61 Vol.
- October 17$34,412.64 Vol.
- October 18$23,266.88 Vol.
- October 19$20,992.10 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at…
- October 16
- October 17
- October 18
- October 19
Fed Decision in October?
$1,734,016.72 Vol. · last 24 hours
- No change$562,477.70 Vol.
- 50+ bps increase$356,375.83 Vol.
- 50+ bps decrease$330,071.06 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$309,145.71 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- No change
- 50+ bps increase
- 50+ bps decrease
- 25 bps increase
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$8,522.70 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of…
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
$10,788.92 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed case of pneumonic plague in a human is reported in the Russian Federation at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Moscow time, . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "confirmed case" is a case explicitly…
- October 31, 2026
- October 15, 2026
