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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$2,309,003.12 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Republicans Sweep$1,048,658.32 Vol.
- Democrats Sweep$597,173.59 Vol.
- R Senate, D House$408,483.87 Vol.
- Other$173,186.56 Vol.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the…
- Republicans Sweep
- Democrats Sweep
- R Senate, D House
- Other
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 21?
$507,666.98 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".…
- ↑ 85,000
- ↓ 82,000
- ↑ 87,000
- ↓ 81,000
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
$86,525.66 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the…
- Anthropic
- DeepSeek
- Z.ai
- xAI
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$702,810.15 Vol. · last 24 hours
- October 21$439,271.37 Vol.
- October 31$191,863.59 Vol.
- November 15$37,598.99 Vol.
- December 31$15,920.74 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if…
- October 21
- October 31
- November 15
- December 31
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
$317,852.15 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑…
- ↑ $115
- ↑ $120
- ↑ $110
- ↑ $130
Fed Decision in October?
$2,863,898.96 Vol. · last 24 hours
- 50+ bps increase$919,629.69 Vol.
- 25 bps decrease$823,168.38 Vol.
- 25 bps increase$578,989.91 Vol.
- No change$494,912.05 Vol.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target…
- 50+ bps increase
- 25 bps decrease
- 25 bps increase
- No change
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
$580.03 Vol. · last 24 hours
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall"…
- Meta
- Baidu
- DeepSeek
- Alibaba
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
$46.88 Vol. · last 24 hours
- Mathilde Panot$46.88 Vol.
- Jordan Bardella$0.00 Vol.
- Sébastien Lecornu$0.00 Vol.
- Élisabeth Borne$0.00 Vol.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market…
- Mathilde Panot
- Jordan Bardella
- Sébastien Lecornu
- Élisabeth Borne




























